May 24, 2010

Derrick Favors, Demarcus Cousins, Cole Aldrich, Ekpe Udoh, Greg Monroe, Daniel Orton, Hassan Whiteside... Lottery BIGS.

So using Draftexpress.com's evaluations, here is what they think you can expect from the top 7 bigs (I didn't include the European, because unless he IS the next Gasol, I don't want to even look at him!) I really like this because it allows for a less accurate, but hopefully a more tangible comparison . All stat lines are taken from that players "prime year" so far.

Explanation of "safe bet":
Safe bet is simply the average of that player's "worst case" and "best case" comparison players.

Per min:
I believe this is the best evaluator of usable talent. Given the fact that every player in the NBA isn't divided out the exact same minutes of playing time like in Jr. Jazz or is even physically able to play the same amount of minutes, this allows to compare on a per minute bases.

Here are a few "per minute" lines so you can wrap your head around it:

Lebron James: .7 points  .18 rebounds  .03 blocks
Dwight Howard: .5 points  .36 rebounds  .06 blocks
 Lamar Oden: .42 points  .25 rebounds  .03 blocks



Derrick Favors
Best Case: Antonio Mcdyess
Worst Case: Chris Wilcox

Derrick Favors is 6' 10",  245lbs. Forward out of Georgia Tech
Worst Case- Chris Wilcox:  14 pts.  8 rbs.  .5 blk. (tends to miss a lot of games)
Best Case- Antonio Mcdyess:  21 pts.  11 rbs.  2.5 blks

Derrick Favors' "safe bet" per min: .51 points  .28 rebounds  .04 blocks

Derrick Favors' "Safe bet" average: 17.5 points  9.5 rebounds  1.5 blocks







Derrick Coleman
Demarcus Cousins
Erick Dampier

Demarcus Cousins is 6' 11" , 270lbs. Center out of Kentucky
Worst Case- Erick Dapier: 12 pts.  12 rbs.  2 blks.
Best Case- Derrick Coleman: 21 pts.  11 rbs.  1.5 blks.

Demarcus Cousins' "safe bet"  per min: .49 points  .34 rebounds  .05 blocks

Demarcus Cousins' "safe bet" average: 16.5 points  11.5 rebounds  1.75 blocks






Cole Aldrich
Joel Przybilla
Josh Boone


Cole Aldrich is 6'11", 250 lbs. Center out of Kansas
Worst Case- Josh Boone: 8 pts.  7 rbs.  1 blk.
Best Case- a better Joel Przybilla: 6 pts.  8 rbs.  2 blks.

Cole Aldrich's "safe bet" per min: .28 points  .3 rebounds  .06  blocks

Cole Aldrich's "safe bet" average: 7 points  7.5 rebounds  1.5 blocks







Ekpe Udoh
Jason Thompson
Hilton Armstrong

Ekpe Udoh: 6'10", 240 lbs. C/F out of Baylor
Worst Case- Hilton Armstrong: 5 pts.  3 rbs.  0.5 blk.
Best Case- Jason Thompson: 12 pts.  8.5 rbs.  1 blk.

Ekpe Udoh's "safe bet" per min: .28 points  .19 rebounds  .03 blocks

Ekpe Udoh's "safe bet" average: 8.5 points  5.75 rebounds  .75 blocks






Greg Monroe
Brad Miller
Josh McRoberts

  Greg Monroe: 6'11", 240 lbs. C/F out of Georgetown
Worst Case- Josh McRoberts: 4 pts.  3 rbs.  .5 blk.
Best Case- Brad Miller: 15 pts.  9 rbs.  1 blk.

Greg Monroe's "safe bet" per min: .38  points  .24 rebounds  .03 blocks

Greg Monroe's "safe bet" average: 9.5 points  6 rebounds  .75 blocks





Daniel Orton
Kendrick Perkins

Pervis Pasco

Daniel Orton: 6'10" 260lbs. C/F out of Kentucky
Worst Case- **Pervis Pasco: 11 pts.  10 rbs.  1 blk. (Euro League)
Best Case- Kendrick Perkins: 10 pts.  8 rbs.  2 blks.

Daniel Orton's "safe bet" per min: .32 points  .27 rebounds  .05 blocks

Daniel Orton's "safe bet" average: 9 points  7.75 rebounds  1.5 blocks






Hassan Whiteside
Mark Eaton
Greg Foster


Hassan Whiteside: 7' 235 lbs. C/PF out of Marshall
Worst Case- *Greg Foster: 6 pts.  3 rbs.  1 blk.
Best Case- poor man's *Mark Eaton: 10 pts.  11 rbs.  5.6 blks.

Hassan Whiteside's "safe bet" per min: .30 points  .26 rebounds  .11 blocks 

Hassan Whiteside's "safe bet" average: 8 points  7 rebounds  3 blocks



(*Not selected by draftexpress.com, but by SPORTSCAVElive.com
** only 75% of Euro league stats are taken for "safe bet" analysis)

3 comments:

Shake said...

Dang that was great! Makes me wonder if the Jazz should gamble on Daniel Orton from Kentucky. I have watch some of his high school highlights and he looks pretty athletic for a big guy. He could have more potential than Cole or Greg... what do you think dignan?

Unknown said...

Yea, I can see Orton becoming a real contender. I'd like to see his true size. I hear he's undersized a bit... but he does have great closing quickness. You know who turned my head a little... Derrick Favors. I'm still not completely sold on him, but if he can end up like Antonio Mcdyess, wow!

Anonymous said...

What a great resource!

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